Blog post
Why Truth By Reason Uses Probability Rather Than False Certainty
11 June 2026
Truth By Reason uses confidence and probability because many important claims are not honestly handled by pretending everything is either absolutely certain or completely unknowable.
One of the aims of Truth By Reason is to avoid false certainty. Many public arguments collapse into two extremes: either a claim is treated as unquestionably true, or it is dismissed as worthless. Real inquiry is often more careful than that.
Some claims are strongly supported. Some are weak. Some are possible but unproven. Some are unlikely. Some are unknown. Some are false. The task is to match confidence to evidence.
This is why Findings can have truth types, confidence levels and probability estimates. These are not perfect measurements. They are tools for intellectual honesty.
This approach matters especially for religion, morality, politics, animals, consciousness, life after death, gods, origins and claims about reality.