Topic
Material connected with probability.
A miracle is often understood as an event caused by supernatural or divine intervention. Before accepting that explanation, the event itself and the available alternatives must be examined carefully.
An extraordinary claim is not merely unusual or unpopular. It is a claim that would require major revision of well-supported knowledge or depends upon causes outside reliably observed experience.
Not every claim needs the same amount of evidence. Everyday low-risk claims may reasonably be accepted provisionally, while extraordinary, consequential or highly specific claims require stronger and more independent support.
Truth is sometimes divided into absolute, probable and practical forms. These terms can be useful, but only if they do not confuse what is actually true with how confidently people know it or how successfully a belief guides action.
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